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Von Mises Distribution Percent Point

Find the angle percent point (quantile) of the von Mises distribution from probability p, mean direction μ, and concentration κ.

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Input

Enter probability p, mean direction μ in radians, and concentration κ to compute the percent point of the von Mises distribution, the corresponding angle.

A value greater than 0 and less than 1

Probability type

Choose lower-tail or upper-tail probability.

The central angle around which the distribution concentrates

A value greater than 0. Larger values are more sharply concentrated.

Result

Percent point at lower probability 0.95

1.41796946 rad

= 81.2436655 degrees

Mean direction μ

0

Concentration κ

2

Lower probability F

0.95000023

Upper probability

0.04999977

Density f

0.09466553

Circular variance

0.30222534

Probability density function

Cumulative distribution function

How it works

  • The von Mises density is f(θ) = exp(κ cos(θ − μ)) / (2π I0(κ)), where I0 is the modified Bessel function of the first kind, implemented here from its series expansion.
  • The cumulative probability is obtained by trapezoidal numerical integration over the interval from μ − π to θ, normalized by the integral over the full period.
  • The percent point is found by inverting the cumulative probability with bisection. The median (p = 0.5) equals the mean direction μ.
  • When the upper tail is selected, the probability is converted to the lower probability 1 − p before solving for the angle.
  • Larger concentration κ makes the distribution sharply peaked around the mean direction μ, while κ near 0 approaches a uniform distribution on the circle.
  • Circular variance is 1 − I1(κ)/I0(κ); values near 0 indicate that directions are tightly clustered.

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